Hong Kong, Baghdad, Santiago. In 2019 the world took to the streets, leaving governments and leaders quaking in their boots. Here’s what to expect from 2020.
by Alberto Martinelli, University of Milan and ISPI Senior Advisor
The 2020 U.S. election campaign will be the most bitter, acrimonious ever. Whether Trump is re-elected or not, America will emerge from the election even more divided, resentful, and changed.
by Matthew Wilson, Southern Methodist University and ISPI Senior Associate Research Fellow
Five years after the annexation of Crimea, European sanctions, and the war in Donbas, the presidents of Russia and Ukraine finally met to outline a peace agreement: the future of the region – and of the continent – hangs in the balance.
by Antonella Scott, Il Sole 24 Ore
The ongoing tariff war between China and the United States has brought a dose of anarchy into international trade. The World Trade Organization, which monitors and regulates its development, will keep existing, but it certainly won’t thrive.
by Daniel Gros, Centre for European Policy Studies
Terrorism, smuggling, and migrant flows. More than anywhere in Africa – and perhaps the world – the Sahel is where these phenomena come together, fuelling social and economic crises. Keeping an eye on the Sahel in 2020 will be paramount.
by Francesco Strazzari and Luca Raineri, Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies
by Beda Romano, Il Sole 24 Ore
by Franco Bruni, ISPI Vice President and Bocconi University
The future of the engine of Europe, Germany, will depend largely on who drives it. Frau Merkel’s successor at the head of the CDU will have a major impact on Europe as a whole.
by Michele Valensise, Ambassador and President, German-Italian Centre for European Dialogue Villa Vigoni